Non-Electric Bakery Oven Market

The non-electric bakery oven market is expected to see a decrease in consumption over the next eight years, with a projected CAGR of -1.1% in volume and +2.8% in value. Global consumption peaked in 2022, with India leading in volume consumption. Production and imports show growth, with China dominating. Exports are led by China, with Italy and the United States also prominent. Overall, the market is characterized by fluctuations in consumption trends, production volumes, and import/export prices.

Market Forecast

The non-electric bakery oven market is expected to start a downward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. The performance of the market is forecast to decrease slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of -1.1% for the eight-year period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to depress the market volume to 293K units by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to contract with an anticipated CAGR of +2.8% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $1.9B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Non-Electric Bakery Ovens

In 2022, global non-electric bakery oven consumption skyrocketed to 319K units, jumping by 17% against 2021 figures. Overall, the total consumption indicated temperate growth from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by +87.1% against 2020 indices. Global consumption peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

The global non-electric bakery oven market value fell to $1.5B in 2022, with a decrease of -14% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, the total consumption indicated moderate growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by +48.2% against 2020 indices. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $1.8B, and then contracted in the following year.

Consumption By Country

The country with the largest volume of non-electric bakery oven consumption was India (127K units), comprising approx. 40% of total volume. Moreover, non-electric bakery oven consumption in India exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, China (32K units), fourfold. The third position in this ranking was held by the United States (16K units), with a 5.1% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in India amounted to +23.2%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: China (-3.7% per year) and the United States (+0.4% per year).

In value terms, the largest non-electric bakery oven markets worldwide were India ($299M), Russia ($261M) and the United States ($143M), together comprising 46% of the global market. Indonesia, China, Iraq, the Philippines and Brazil lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 12%.

The Philippines, with a CAGR of +33.3%, saw the highest growth rate of market size among the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of non-electric bakery oven per capita consumption in 2022 were Iraq (125 units per million persons), Russia (99 units per million persons) and the Philippines (92 units per million persons).

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for the Philippines (with a CAGR of +31.9%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Non-Electric Bakery Ovens

In 2022, production of non-electric bakery ovens increased by 94% to 576K units, rising for the second year in a row after three years of decline. Over the period under review, production recorded a perceptible increase. As a result, production reached the peak volume and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, non-electric bakery oven production totaled $1.1B in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, showed a pronounced downturn. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when the production volume increased by 33%. Global production peaked at $2.1B in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Production By Country

China (324K units) remains the largest non-electric bakery oven producing country worldwide, comprising approx. 56% of total volume. Moreover, non-electric bakery oven production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (121K units), threefold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Italy (18K units), with a 3% share.

In China, non-electric bakery oven production increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: India (+21.9% per year) and Italy (-4.3% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Non-Electric Bakery Ovens

In 2022, approx. 115K units of non-electric bakery ovens were imported worldwide; growing by 8.2% against the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, total imports indicated a prominent expansion from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +7.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +39.8% against 2020 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when imports increased by 29%. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to continue growth in the near future.

In value terms, non-electric bakery oven imports declined to $437M in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +1.0% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 32% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at $523M in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports By Country

India (13K units), the Philippines (10K units), Russia (9.3K units), the United States (7.1K units), Thailand (5.6K units), Iraq (5.3K units), Malaysia (3.7K units), the Dominican Republic (3.2K units), Chile (3.2K units), Canada (3K units), Colombia (2.9K units) and Fiji (2.2K units) represented roughly 60% of total imports in 2022. Bolivia (2.1K units) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by Fiji (with a CAGR of +73.5%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($31M), Russia ($19M) and India ($15M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together accounting for 15% of global imports. Canada, Iraq, Chile, Colombia, the Dominican Republic, Thailand, Malaysia, Fiji, the Philippines and Bolivia lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 14%.

Among the main importing countries, Fiji, with a CAGR of +51.0%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average non-electric bakery oven import price amounted to $3,799 per unit, with a decrease of -13% against the previous year. Overall, the import price continues to indicate a deep reduction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 an increase of 16% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs at $7,922 per unit in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($4,884 per unit), while the Philippines ($241 per unit) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Canada (+0.3%), while the other global leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Exports

World Exports of Non-Electric Bakery Ovens

In 2022, the amount of non-electric bakery ovens exported worldwide surged to 372K units, increasing by 184% compared with the previous year. Over the period under review, exports posted temperate growth. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, non-electric bakery oven exports fell to $499M in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when exports increased by 29%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $523M, and then dropped in the following year.

Exports By Country

China prevails in exports structure, reaching 292K units, which was approx. 78% of total exports in 2022. It was distantly followed by Italy (19K units), achieving a 5% share of total exports. The following exporters - India (7.8K units) and the United States (5.9K units) - each accounted for a 3.7% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to non-electric bakery oven exports from China stood at +5.4%. At the same time, India (+12.1%) and the United States (+2.0%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, India emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +12.1% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Italy (-1.0%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2012 to 2022, the share of China increased by +9.6 percentage points. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Italy ($117M), China ($106M) and the United States ($54M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2022, together comprising 55% of global exports.

Among the main exporting countries, China, with a CAGR of +7.7%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

In 2022, the average non-electric bakery oven export price amounted to $1,342 per unit, shrinking by -66.4% against the previous year. In general, the export price recorded a perceptible decrease. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when the average export price increased by 51%. The global export price peaked at $5,197 per unit in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($9,046 per unit), while China ($362 per unit) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United States (+3.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform