Maize Bran Market

The article provides a detailed analysis of the global maize bran market from 2012 to 2022, with projections up to 2030. It covers consumption, production, imports, and exports trends, including key insights such as market performance, value terms, volume, and growth rates in major consuming and producing countries. The data indicates fluctuations in consumption and production volumes, with notable growth rates in countries like China, the United States, India, and Turkey. The analysis also includes information on import and export trends, average prices, and market shares of leading countries in the maize bran market.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for maize bran worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.0% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 32M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.2% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $12.1B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Maize Bran

In 2022, consumption of maize bran decreased by -5.6% to 27M tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year rising trend. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Over the period under review, global consumption hit record highs at 29M tons in 2021, and then shrank in the following year.

The global maize bran market size dropped to $8.7B in 2022, declining by -8.6% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, consumption, however, saw a tangible expansion. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $28.2B. From 2020 to 2022, the growth of the global market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Consumption By Country

China (4.8M tons) remains the largest maize bran consuming country worldwide, comprising approx. 17% of total volume. Moreover, maize bran consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, the United States (2.2M tons), twofold. India (1.9M tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 6.8% share.

In China, maize bran consumption increased at an average annual rate of +5.5% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: the United States (+5.0% per year) and India (+5.0% per year).

In value terms, the largest maize bran markets worldwide were China ($1.7B), Turkey ($1.2B) and Japan ($469M), with a combined 39% share of the global market.

China, with a CAGR of +9.4%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size in terms of the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of maize bran per capita consumption in 2022 were Germany (8.8 kg per person), Turkey (7.3 kg per person) and the United States (6.6 kg per person).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the leading consuming countries, was attained by Turkey (with a CAGR of +5.2%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Maize Bran

In 2022, after two years of growth, there was decline in production of maize bran, when its volume decreased by -4% to 28M tons. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 19%. Global production peaked at 29M tons in 2021, and then shrank in the following year.

In value terms, maize bran production fell to $8.9B in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +3.5% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 24% against the previous year. Global production peaked at $9.8B in 2021, and then dropped in the following year.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were China (4.8M tons), the United States (2.6M tons) and India (1.9M tons), with a combined 33% share of global production. Russia, Pakistan, Indonesia, Nigeria, Brazil, Germany, Japan, Mexico, Turkey and Bangladesh lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 26%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Pakistan (with a CAGR of +5.7%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Maize Bran

In 2022, overseas purchases of maize bran decreased by -5.4% to 1.5M tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year rising trend. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when imports increased by 13%. As a result, imports reached the peak of 1.6M tons, and then fell in the following year.

In value terms, maize bran imports expanded slightly to $443M in 2022. Overall, total imports indicated a moderate expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +78.3% against 2017 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 35% against the previous year. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

Imports By Country

The countries with the highest levels of maize bran imports in 2022 were Israel (211K tons), South Africa (158K tons), Germany (151K tons) and Turkey (135K tons), together amounting to 44% of total import. It was distantly followed by Egypt (79K tons), creating a 5.3% share of total imports. The following importers - Oman (66K tons), Belgium (52K tons), Brazil (47K tons), Singapore (41K tons), Canada (35K tons), Uruguay (33K tons), Spain (33K tons) and the Netherlands (32K tons) - together made up 23% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Oman (with a CAGR of +57.1%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest maize bran importing markets worldwide were Israel ($69M), Germany ($39M) and Turkey ($39M), together comprising 33% of global imports. Egypt, Oman, South Africa, Canada, the Netherlands, Spain, Brazil, Singapore, Uruguay and Belgium lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 37%.

In terms of the main importing countries, Oman, with a CAGR of +62.0%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average maize bran import price stood at $297 per ton in 2022, rising by 8.6% against the previous year. In general, the import price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 20% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the maximum at $306 per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, import prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($497 per ton), while South Africa ($150 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Netherlands (+4.2%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Maize Bran

In 2022, shipments abroad of maize bran increased by 25% to 1.9M tons, rising for the fourth consecutive year after two years of decline. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.6% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 when exports increased by 39%. Over the period under review, the global exports hit record highs in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

In value terms, maize bran exports soared to $447M in 2022. In general, exports enjoyed a modest increase. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

The United States (363K tons) and Brazil (278K tons) represented roughly 34% of total exports in 2022. It was distantly followed by Germany (170K tons), Paraguay (139K tons), Russia (127K tons), Poland (109K tons) and Zambia (105K tons), together achieving a 35% share of total exports. The following exporters - Thailand (67K tons), France (61K tons), India (50K tons), Belgium (39K tons), Ireland (38K tons) and Malaysia (28K tons) - together made up 15% of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Brazil (with a CAGR of +54.9%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest maize bran supplying countries worldwide were Brazil ($91M), Germany ($72M) and Russia ($37M), with a combined 45% share of global exports.

Brazil, with a CAGR of +39.5%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, among the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

In 2022, the average maize bran export price amounted to $237 per ton, rising by 24% against the previous year. In general, the export price, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The global export price peaked at $274 per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($421 per ton), while the United States ($76 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Germany (+5.7%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform