Industrial Roundwood (Coniferous) Market

The global industrial roundwood (coniferous) market is expected to experience an upward trend in consumption and value over the period from 2022 to 2030. The market is forecasted to grow with a CAGR of +2.1% in volume and +4.4% in value, reaching 1.4B cubic meters and $122.3B respectively by 2030. Key countries leading in consumption and production include the United States, Russia, and Canada. The article also outlines trends in imports, exports, and pricing, providing a comprehensive analysis of the market dynamics.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for industrial roundwood (coniferous) worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.1% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 1.4B cubic meters by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.4% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $122.3B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Industrial Roundwood (Coniferous)

Global industrial roundwood (coniferous) consumption dropped slightly to 1.2B cubic meters in 2022, which is down by -1.6% against the previous year. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 6.5%. As a result, consumption reached the peak volume of 1.2B cubic meters; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022.

The global industrial roundwood (coniferous) market size amounted to $86.7B in 2022, flattening at the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $94.7B. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the global market remained at a lower figure.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were the United States (295M cubic meters), Russia (161M cubic meters) and Canada (113M cubic meters), together comprising 49% of global consumption.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Russia (with a CAGR of +4.9%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($27.9B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was taken by Russia ($9.5B). It was followed by Canada.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in the United States amounted to +6.6%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Russia (+2.0% per year) and Canada (+0.4% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of industrial roundwood (coniferous) per capita consumption in 2022 were Finland (8.3 cubic meters per person), Sweden (6.2 cubic meters per person) and Canada (2.9 cubic meters per person).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the leading consuming countries, was attained by Russia (with a CAGR of +4.9%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Industrial Roundwood (Coniferous)

In 2022, the amount of industrial roundwood (coniferous) produced worldwide declined slightly to 1.2B cubic meters, stabilizing at the previous year's figure. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 4.9% against the previous year. Global production peaked at 1.2B cubic meters in 2021, and then dropped slightly in the following year.

In value terms, industrial roundwood (coniferous) production reached $84.1B in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, posted a notable expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 112% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak level of $128.8B. From 2019 to 2022, global production growth failed to regain momentum.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were the United States (300M cubic meters), Russia (161M cubic meters) and Canada (116M cubic meters), together comprising 48% of global production. Sweden, Germany, Finland, New Zealand, Brazil, Poland, Chile, China, the Czech Republic and Japan lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 32%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for the Czech Republic (with a CAGR of +8.1%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Industrial Roundwood (Coniferous)

In 2022, approx. 93M cubic meters of industrial roundwood (coniferous) were imported worldwide; reducing by -33.5% compared with 2021 figures. Over the period under review, imports recorded a perceptible decrease. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 29%. As a result, imports reached the peak of 164M cubic meters. From 2017 to 2022, the growth of global imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, industrial roundwood (coniferous) imports contracted significantly to $10.6B in 2022. Overall, total imports indicated a perceptible increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +14.7% against 2020 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 44% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of $13.3B, and then dropped significantly in the following year.

Imports By Country

China represented the main importing country with an import of around 31M cubic meters, which accounted for 34% of total imports. Austria (8M cubic meters) took an 8.6% share (based on physical terms) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by Japan (8.1%), Germany (5.6%) and Belgium (5.1%). South Korea (4.2M cubic meters), Sweden (4.1M cubic meters), India (3.5M cubic meters), Poland (2.7M cubic meters), Canada (2.3M cubic meters), Ireland (1.9M cubic meters) and Latvia (1.5M cubic meters) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to industrial roundwood (coniferous) imports into China stood at -3.8%. At the same time, India (+58.4%), Ireland (+19.7%), Belgium (+12.3%), Latvia (+9.3%) and Poland (+7.3%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, India emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +58.4% from 2012-2022. Canada experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Austria (-2.1%), South Korea (-3.4%), Japan (-4.4%), Germany (-5.3%) and Sweden (-5.6%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Belgium (+3.8 p.p.), India (+3.7 p.p.), Ireland (+1.8 p.p.) and Poland (+1.7 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global imports, while Sweden, Japan, Germany and China saw its share reduced by -1.8%, -2%, -2.1% and -6.1% from 2012 to 2022, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, China ($5.1B) constitutes the largest market for imported industrial roundwood (coniferous) worldwide, comprising 48% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Japan ($849M), with an 8% share of global imports. It was followed by Austria, with a 7.4% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in China totaled +3.0%. The remaining importing countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Japan (-0.2% per year) and Austria (+2.4% per year).

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average industrial roundwood (coniferous) import price amounted to $114 per cubic meter, increasing by 20% against the previous year. In general, import price indicated a tangible expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +4.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, industrial roundwood (coniferous) import price increased by +76.1% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 an increase of 41%. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the maximum in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was China ($161 per cubic meter), while Ireland ($15 per cubic meter) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Poland (+8.6%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Industrial Roundwood (Coniferous)

In 2022, shipments abroad of industrial roundwood (coniferous) decreased by -25.9% to 116M cubic meters, falling for the second consecutive year after three years of growth. In general, exports showed a slight shrinkage. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when exports increased by 28% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of 173M cubic meters. From 2014 to 2022, the growth of the global exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, industrial roundwood (coniferous) exports declined notably to $8.5B in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +1.4% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when exports increased by 32%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $10.5B, and then contracted remarkably in the following year.

Exports By Country

In 2022, New Zealand (30M cubic meters), distantly followed by Belgium (16M cubic meters), the Czech Republic (9.9M cubic meters), the Netherlands (9.6M cubic meters), Germany (9.4M cubic meters), Norway (8.1M cubic meters) and the United States (5.4M cubic meters) were the main exporters of industrial roundwood (coniferous), together generating 76% of total exports. Canada (4.4M cubic meters), Poland (4.2M cubic meters), Uruguay (3.1M cubic meters) and Sweden (1.9M cubic meters) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main exporting countries, was attained by Belgium (with a CAGR of +27.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, New Zealand ($2.2B) remains the largest industrial roundwood (coniferous) supplier worldwide, comprising 26% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by the Czech Republic ($1B), with a 12% share of global exports. It was followed by Germany, with a 12% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in New Zealand amounted to +5.8%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the Czech Republic (+11.1% per year) and Germany (+16.4% per year).

Export Prices By Country

The average industrial roundwood (coniferous) export price stood at $73 per cubic meter in 2022, rising by 8.4% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +3.0%. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 40%. The global export price peaked in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($184 per cubic meter), while Belgium ($19 per cubic meter) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United States (+14.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform